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History shows Prior a bad gamble for Padres
Posted: December 28, 2007 David Pinto Sportingnews.com
»÷µð¿¡À̰í´Â À̹øÁÖ Mark Prior¿Í 1³â °è¾àÀ» ¸ÎÀ½À¸·Î½á ³»³â½ÃÁð ±×ÀÇ ºÎȰÀ» ±â´ëÇϰí ÀÖ´Ù
2007½ÃÁð Àüü¸¦ DL¿¡¼ ÀçȰ±â°£À¸·Î ³¯·Á ¹ö¸° Åõ¼ö°¡ °ú¿¬ ³»³â½ÃÁð ÆÄµå·¹½º°¡ ±â´ëÇÏ´Â ¸¸ÅÀÇ È°¾àÀ» ÇØ ÁÙ ¼ö ÀÖÀ»±î?
ºÐ¼®¿¡ ¾Õ¼ Prior¿Í ºñ½ÁÇÑ ÄÉÀ̽ºÀÇ ¾Æ·¡Á¶°ÇµéÀ» ¸¸Á·ÇÏ´Â ¿ª´ë Åõ¼öµéÀÇ »ç·Ê¸¦ ¸ð¾Æ º¸¾Ò´Ù.
They pitched in the modern era, 1901 on.
They dropped out of the majors for at least one full season.
They started at least 60 games in their career prior to missing a season.
They attempted a comeback no later than seasonal age 30.
Lahman µ¥ÀÌÅͺ£À̽º 5.4¹öÀüÀ» ÂüÁ¶ÇÏ¿´À¸¸ç, À§ Á¶°ÇÀ» ¸¸Á·ÇÏ´Â 116½ÃÁðÀÌ °Ë»öµÇ¾ú´Ù. ºÎ»ó¿Ü ´Ù¸¥ÀÌÀ¯·Î ½ÃÁð¾Æ¿ôµÈ °æ¿ìµµ Æ÷ÇԵǾúÀ¸¸ç, ¾Æ¿ôµÈ ½ÃÁðÀÌ ±ä ¼ø¼·Î Á¤¸®µÇ¾ú´Ù. 1918³â°ú 1919³â¿¡ Æ÷ÇÔµÈ 14¸íÀº 1Â÷¼¼°è´ëÀüÀÌÈÄ 1918½ÃÁðºÎÅÍ ´Ù½Ã ¼±¼ö·Î º¹±ÍÇÑ °æ¿ì¿¡ ÇØ´çÇϸç, 1946³â¿¡ ±â·ÏµÈ 8¸í ¿ª½Ã 2Â÷¼¼°è´ëÀü½Ã ±ºº¹¹«·Î ¶ÙÁö ¸øÇß´ø ¼±¼öµéÀÌ º¹±ÍÇÑ
ÄÉÀ̽º´Ù.
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Pitcher | Season | Games | Starts | W | L | IP | ERA | K/9 | BB/9 |
Tex Hughson | 1946 | 39 | 35 | 20 | 11 | 278.0 | 2.75 | 5.57 | 1.65 |
Cy Barger | 1914 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 228.3 | 4.34 | 2.76 | 2.48 |
Art Houtteman | 1952 | 35 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 221.0 | 4.36 | 4.44 | 2.65 |
Bart Johnson | 1976 | 32 | 32 | 9 | 16 | 211.3 | 4.73 | 3.88 | 2.64 |
Gary Nolan | 1975 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 210.7 | 3.16 | 3.16 | 1.24 |
Vinegar Bend Mizell | 1956 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 14 | 208.7 | 3.62 | 6.60 | 3.97 |
Mal Eason | 1905 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 21 | 207.0 | 4.30 | 2.78 | 3.13 |
Curt Simmons | 1952 | 28 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 201.3 | 2.82 | 6.30 | 3.13 |
Tex HughsonÀº 1945³â ±ºº¹¹«·Î ½ÃÁð¾Æ¿ôµÇ±â Àü±îÁö ¿Ã½ºÅ¸¿¡ ¼¼ ¹øÀ̳ª »ÌÇûÀ¸¸ç º¹±ÍÇÑ ÀÌÈÄ¿¡µµ ¿¹ÀÇ ÈǸ¢ÇÑ Åõ±¸¸¦ À¯°¨¾øÀÌ µå·¯³Â´Ù.
Cy BargerÀº 1914³â ±â·ÏÀº À̳» »ç¶óÁø Æä´õ·²¸®±×¿¡¼ÀÇ ¼ºÀûÀÌ´Ù. Art Houtteman¿ª½Ã ±ºº¹¹« ¹®Á¦·Î ¶ÙÁö ¸øÇÑ ÄÉÀ̽º´Ù.
ºÎ»óÀ¸·Î ½ÃÁðÀ» Á¢Àº ÃÖÃÊÀÇ ¼±¼ö´Â ¹Ù·Î Bart JohnsonÀÌ´Ù ±×´Â 1975½ÃÁ𠽺ÇÁ¸µ Æ®·¹À̴׿¡¼ µð½ºÅ© ºÎ»óÀ¸·Î ÇÑ ½ÃÁð Àüü¸¦ ¶ÙÁö ¸øÇß¾ú´Ù. À̵ëÇØ º¹±ÍÇÑ ±×´Â 211°ú 1/3ÀÌ´×À» ´øÁ³Áö¸¸ ³ôÀº ¹æ¾îÀ²°ú ³·Àº Å»»ïÁøÀ²µî·Î ±×¸® ÁÖ¸ñ¹ÞÁö ¸øÇß´Ù.
»óÀ§Ç¥¿¡ ·©Å©µÈ(200ÀÌ´× ÀÌ»óÀ» ¼ÒÈ) Åõ¼öµéÀÇ ÃÑÀüÀûÀº 85½Â 115ÆÐ¿¡ ºÒ°úÇÏ´Ù.
¶ÇÇÑ, ½ÃÁðÀüü¸¦ Á¢Àº ÀÌÈÄ º¹±Í½ÃÁð¿¡¼ ¸¹Àº ÀÌ´×À» ¼ÒÈÇØ³½ °æ¿ìµµ ±×¸® ¸¹Áö ¾Ê´Ù.
Innings | Number of pitchers |
Less than 50 |
56 |
50-100 |
31 |
100-150 |
11 |
150-200 |
10 |
200-plus |
8 |
Áï, Ç¥¸¦ ¹ÙÅÁÀ¸·Î Åë°èÀûÀ¸·Î º¼¶§ ³»³â½ÃÁð Prior°¡ 100ÀÌ´×À» ä¿ìÁö ¸øÇÒ °¡´É¼ºÀº 75%À̸ç, 50ÀÌ´×µµ ´øÁöÁö ¸øÇÒ °¡´É¼ºÀº °ÅÀÇ 50%¿¡ ´ÞÇÑ´Ù´Â Àǹ̴Ù.
½Â¼ö ½×´Â °Í ¿ª½Ã ¸¶Âù°¡Áö´Ù. °Ë»öµÈ 116¸íÀÇ Åõ¼öÁß ´Ü 14¸í¸¸ÀÌ µ¹¾Æ¿Â Ã¹ÇØ¿¡ 10½ÂÀÌ»óÀ» °Åµ×À» »ÓÀÌ´Ù.
Pitcher | Season | Games | Starts | W | L | IP | ERA | K/9 | BB/9 |
Tex Hughson | 1946 | 39 | 35 | 20 | 11 | 278.0 | 2.75 | 5.57 | 1.65 |
Gary Nolan | 1975 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 210.7 | 3.16 | 3.16 | 1.24 |
Chris Carpenter | 2004 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 182.0 | 3.46 | 7.52 | 1.88 |
Curt Simmons | 1952 | 28 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 201.3 | 2.82 | 6.30 | 3.13 |
Vinegar Bend Mizell | 1956 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 14 | 208.7 | 3.62 | 6.60 | 3.97 |
Jose Guzman | 1991 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 169.7 | 3.08 | 6.63 | 4.46 |
Joe Dobson | 1946 | 32 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 166.7 | 3.24 | 4.91 | 3.67 |
Flint Rhem | 1930 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 139.7 | 4.45 | 3.03 | 2.38 |
Johnny Podres | 1957 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 196.0 | 2.66 | 5.01 | 2.02 |
Jamie Moyer | 1993 | 25 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 152.0 | 3.43 | 5.33 | 2.25 |
King Cole | 1914 | 33 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 141.7 | 3.30 | 2.73 | 3.24 |
Carl Weilman | 1919 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 148.0 | 2.07 | 2.68 | 2.74 |
Atlee Hammaker | 1987 | 31 | 27 | 10 | 10 | 168.3 | 3.58 | 5.72 | 3.05 |
Cy Barger | 1914 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 228.3 | 4.34 | 2.76 | 2.48 |
¾Æ¸¶µµ Å«ºÎ»óÀÌÈÄ Àç±âÇÑ °¡Àå ¼º°øÀûÀÎ ÄÉÀ̽º´Â Ä«µð³Î½ºÀÇ Chris CarpenterÀÏ °ÍÀÌ´Ù. Prior¿Í ¸¶Âù°¡Áö·Î ¾î±úºÎ»óÀ¸·Î °ÅÀÇ µÎ½ÃÁðÀ» Á¢¾úÀ¸¸ç, 2004½ÃÁ𠺹±ÍÇÏ¿© 15½Â 5ÆÐ 3.46ERAÀÇ ÁؼöÇѼºÀûÀ» °ÅµÎ´Â µ¿¾È 182ÀÌ´×À̳ª ¼ÒÈÇØ ³Â´Ù. ÇÏÁö¸¸ Carpenter´Â ºÎ»óÀü¿¡ Prior¸¸Å ¾öû³ ±¸À§¸¦ °¡Áö°í ÀÖÁö ¸øÇßÀ¸¸ç ¿ÀÈ÷·Á 07³â ¶Ç´Ù¸¥ ºÎ»óÀ¸·Î ¾Æ¿ôµÇ±â Àü±îÁö º¹±ÍÇÑ ÀÌÈÄÀÇ 3½ÃÁðµ¿¾È ´õ ÈǸ¢ÇÑ Åõ±¸³»¿ëÀ» º¸¿´¾ú´Ù.
Gary NolanÀ̾߸»·Î Prior¿Í °ßÁÙ ¸¸ÇÑ °æ·ÂÀÇ Åõ¼ö´Ù. ±×´Â 1970³â´ë ÃÊ¹Ý ·¹Áî¿¡¼ ÈǸ¢ÇÑ Åõ±¸¸¦ Çϰí ÀÖ¾úÁö¸¸ ÆÈºÎ»óÀ¸·Î 73³â ´ëºÎºÐ°ú 74³â ½ÃÁð Àüü¸¦ ¹Ý³³Çؾß먄 Çß´Ù. 75³â½ÃÁð ±×´Â 15½Â 9ÆÐ·Î ¼º°îÀûÀÎ Àç±â¿¡ ¼º°øÇÏ¿´°í 9ÀÌ´×´ç 1.24°³ÀÇ º¼³ÝºñÀ²Àº ¾ð±ÞµÈ 116¸íÀÇ Åõ¼öÁß 40ÀÌ´× ÀÌ»óÀ» ¼ÒÈÇÑ ±× ¾î¶² Åõ¼öº¸´Ù ³·ÀººñÀ²ÀÌ´Ù. ÇÏÁö¸¸ ±×¿ª½Ã 77³â½ÃÁð ¶Ç´Ù¸¥ ºÎ»óÀ¸·Î ¼±¼ö»ýȰÀ» ¸¶°¨Çؾ߸¸ Çß´Ù.
Towers´ÜÀåÀÌ 09½ÃÁð ¶ÇÇÑ ¿°µÎÇØ µÎÁö ¾Ê¾ÒÀ» ¸® ¾ø´Ù. ³»³â½ÃÁð ¾î¼¸é ÆÄµå·¹½º´Â $1millonÀÇ º£ÆÃÀ¸·Î PriorÀÇ ºÎȰÀ» ÁöÄѺ¼ ¼öµµ ÀÖÀ» °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ±×·¸°Ô µÈ´Ù¸é FA½ÅºÐÀÇ ±×¿Í ¶Ç´Ù¸¥ µôÀÌ ³íÀǵɰÍÀÌ´Ù. ÇÏÁö¸¸ ¾ÕÀ¸·ÎÀÇ ½ÃÁ𵿾ÈÀº ±×ÀÇ ¼ºÀûÀº °è¼ÓÇØ¼ Ç϶ôÇÒ Àϸ¸ ³²¾Ò´Ù´Â »ç½Ç¸¸Àº Àؾ ¾ÈµÉ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
ºÎ»óÀ¸·Î ½ÃÁð¾Æ¿ôµÈ ÀÌÈÄ º¹±ÍÇÑ Åõ¼öÁß °¡Àå ¿À·£µ¿¾È ¼±¼ö»ýȰÀ» À¯ÁöÇÑ ¼±¼ö´Â Atlee Hammaker ¿´´Ù. º¹±ÍÀÌÈÄ 7½ÃÁðÀ̳ª À¯ÁöÇßÁö¸¸ ±×¿ª½Ãµµ ¸ÅÇØ °ïµÎ¹ÚÁú Ä¡´Â ¼ºÀûÀº ¾îÂî ÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø¾ú´Ù.
°Ë»öµÈ 116¸íÀÇ Åõ¼ö¸ðµÎ º¹±ÍÇÑ 3³âÀÌ Áö³ª±â Àü¿¡ 80ÀÌ´×ÀÌ»óÀ» ¼ÒÈÇØ³»Áö ¸øÇß´Ù.
³»³â½ÃÁð Prior°¡ ÁؼöÇÑ ¼ºÀûÀ¸·Î ±â´ë¿¡ ºÎÀÀÇØ ÁÙÁöµµ ¸ð¸¥´Ù. ±×·¸Áö¸¸ ±×¿¡°Ô ÇâÈÄ ´õ ÀÌ»óÀÇ ²ÙÁØÇÑ ¼ºÀûÀ» ±â´ëÇÏÁö´Â ¸»¾Æ¾ß ÇÒ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
Interpreted by Jacky